Probabilistic reasoning and decision theory under imperfect recall

Probabilistic reasoning and decision theory under imperfect recall

Probability Seminar

Vincent Conitzer

Thursday, November 21, 2019 -
3:15pm to 4:15pm
Location: 
119 Physics

When one cannot remember everything that happened before, how should one form beliefs and make decisions? Examples such as the Sleeping Beauty and Absentminded Driver scenarios provide some insight and can be used to rule out some candidate theories. Nevertheless, at this point, multiple (belief formation theory, decision theory) pairs appear to survive as reasonable candidates. I will give our motivation for caring about these problems from an AI perspective, introduce some of the examples, and briefly describe our work on these topics. No previous background required. Parts of this are joint work with Andrew Critch, Scott Emmons (former UNC undergrad / Robertson Scholar), and Caspar Oesterheld (current Duke CS Ph.D. student).

Last updated: 2019/11/19 - 2:42pm